CryptoPunk #7849 valuation (beta)
Female, Half Shaved, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.5 ETH (about $76,400). 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 350 ETH, 44.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 33.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 35.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9366 2025-07-25: 55.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4525 2024-11-15: 37.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8955 2026-10-18: 32.0 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1612 2026-10-08: 44.0 ETH (40.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8955 2026-09-23: 35.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8674 2026-09-22: 35.6 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2721 2026-09-22: 36.0 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.