CryptoPunk #7853 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Straight Hair, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5917 2026-08-19: 31.4 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5917 2026-07-25: 31.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6618 2026-06-26: 32.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6699 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2318 2025-12-31: 27.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5266 2025-12-10: 30.0 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1671 2025-08-28: 53.5 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6365 2025-07-31: 53.8 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-10-01: 145 ETH (sale)
- 2021-11-25: 92.8 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-03: 61.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-15: 56.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-13: 49.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.