CryptoPunk #7860 valuation (beta)
Female, Choker, Straight Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.3 ETH (about $82,609). 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.3 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.9 to 40.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 44.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Choker +18%, Cigarette -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5668 2026-07-01: 52.0 ETH (50.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5064 2025-12-22: 27.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5064 2025-12-22: 27.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-09-03: 44.4 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-08-17: 50.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-08-14: 46.2 ETH (27.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8774 2025-08-09: 54.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6933 2025-08-08: 52.6 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.