CryptoPunk #7861 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Earring, Headband, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 36.4 ETH (about $82,779). 1σ range 32.7 to 40.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 36.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 40.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 45.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7463 2026-02-26: 30.9 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-19: 31.9 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2026-02-12: 33.0 ETH (33.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1613 2025-09-24: 48.8 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1613 2025-09-22: 44.0 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-20: 46.0 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-16: 43.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7463 2025-07-08: 42.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-16: 1.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 21.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-25: 45.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.