CryptoPunk #7864 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Frumpy Hair, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.8 ETH (about $79,400). 1σ range 30.0 to 35.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 39.2 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.0 to 35.8 ETH, 2σ range 27.4 to 39.2 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Goat -7%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8783 2025-10-31: 39.9 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (51.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-10-05: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-28: 33.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-25: 31.4 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4341 2026-09-22: 32.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-27: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-13: 26.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-16: 23.8 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.