CryptoPunk #7868 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Medical Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 124 ETH (about $282,508). 1σ range 63.1 to 245 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 481 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 124 ETH (beta), 1σ range 63.1 to 245 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 481 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Hoodie +238%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7779 2026-10-20: 145 ETH (139 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9799 2026-08-24: 117 ETH (108 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9799 2026-08-19: 115 ETH (107 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3298 2026-08-17: 140 ETH (131 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2311 2026-08-05: 269 ETH (254 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7360 2026-07-03: 140 ETH (129 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7519 2026-07-03: 58.9 ETH (54.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-10: 0.21 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2017-07-11: 0.38 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-14: 2.00 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.