CryptoPunk #7878 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Bandana, Cigarette, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $79,123). 1σ range 29.9 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 39.0 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 350 ETH, 26.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.9 to 35.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 39.0 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Muttonchops -9%, Bandana -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8343 2025-12-01: 28.4 ETH (28.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3123 2025-11-18: 30.8 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5842 2026-06-25: 33.9 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-22: 25.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.