CryptoPunk #7905 valuation (beta)
Male, Normal Beard Black, Earring, Stringy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.9 ETH (about $81,664). 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 302 ETH, 22.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9585 2026-11-02: 31.0 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8427 2026-10-23: 29.4 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-10-16: 32.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8871 2026-09-23: 34.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-21: 34.5 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2524 2026-08-12: 30.4 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2595 2026-06-13: 31.9 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-06: 56.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-23: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 90.0 ETH (sale, not used: relay-same-block)
- 2021-08-27: 91.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.