CryptoPunk #7939 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Fedora, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,381). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 45.0 ETH, 2.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1228 2025-06-11: 52.0 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6435 2024-12-08: 39.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8334 2024-12-01: 47.7 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5710 2024-11-30: 48.5 ETH (36.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4282 2026-11-02: 30.3 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-12-07: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-07: 73.5 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-11-15: 80.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-03-31: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-11: 55.7 ETH (sale)
- 2023-08-27: 59.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-05: 26.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.