CryptoPunk #794 valuation (beta)
Male, Headband, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.7 ETH (about $76,610). 1σ range 31.0 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.0 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2075 2026-05-02: 37.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4390 2025-03-28: 43.9 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4390 2025-03-25: 43.5 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8159 2026-10-09: 35.9 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2298 2026-09-30: 34.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-25: 90.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 122 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-29: 140 ETH (sale)
- 2023-01-14: 74.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.