CryptoPunk #7949 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.0 ETH (about $77,342). 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.3 to 37.0 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7358 2026-09-01: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2271 2026-03-20: 29.7 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2271 2026-03-06: 29.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2026-02-23: 32.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2026-02-11: 30.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6318 2025-07-22: 51.7 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5394 2026-10-30: 35.0 ETH (36.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9132 2026-10-30: 28.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-30: 0.20 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.