CryptoPunk #7953 valuation (beta)
Male, Smile, Earring, Headband, Vape, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 42.6 ETH (about $96,868). 1σ range 36.2 to 50.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 59.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 42.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 36.2 to 50.2 ETH, 2σ range 30.7 to 59.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Smile +17%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9855 2026-02-05: 31.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2025-11-20: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2323 2025-09-03: 51.9 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2323 2025-08-24: 48.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2025-08-23: 48.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2025-08-14: 51.8 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4552 2025-07-20: 48.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2024-12-07: 39.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-26: 3.00 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.