CryptoPunk #7956 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Goat, Police Cap, Pipe, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $85,530). 1σ range 33.5 to 42.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 47.5 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 201 ETH, 14.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 42.3 ETH, 2σ range 29.8 to 47.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Goat -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8864 2026-03-29: 31.5 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8864 2026-02-24: 30.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8864 2025-08-23: 56.5 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8340 2026-07-12: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2022-01-17: 80.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-01-30: 141 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.