CryptoPunk #7981 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Headband, Clown Eyes Green.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.1 ETH (about $66,264). 1σ range 27.4 to 30.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.8 to 32.9 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 38.9 ETH, 4.8σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.4 to 30.9 ETH, 2σ range 25.8 to 32.9 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Headband -4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6698 2025-07-31: 52.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5036 2025-03-31: 47.0 ETH (33.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5858 2025-01-02: 42.0 ETH (33.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3190 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3976 2026-10-09: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4065 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8450 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5541 2026-08-23: 50.5 ETH (47.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-15: 9.26 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-15: 10.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-05-15: 46.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.