CryptoPunk #8015 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Cap Forward, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.4 ETH (about $71,436). 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 420 ETH, 31.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.0 to 34.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.7 to 37.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #768 2026-04-17: 34.0 ETH (38.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2412 2026-03-25: 31.5 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2642 2025-09-18: 52.1 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6920 2025-09-03: 45.3 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6920 2025-08-29: 45.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2642 2025-05-15: 49.1 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-13: 8.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-12: 25.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-09: 32.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-05-08: 28.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 56.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 165 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.