CryptoPunk #8044 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Orange Side, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 48.1 ETH (about $109,472). 1σ range 38.2 to 60.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 76.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 1,499 ETH, 14.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 48.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 38.2 to 60.6 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 76.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Orange Side +27%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5541 2026-08-23: 50.5 ETH (47.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8400 2026-06-02: 37.5 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4772 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4772 2026-04-20: 25.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-21: 41.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-20: 40.2 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-04: 42.6 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3465 2025-03-23: 47.0 ETH (35.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.