CryptoPunk #8109 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Messy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.6 ETH (about $85,567). 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.2 to 46.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8205 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8205 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9901 2026-01-20: 120 ETH (132 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8343 2025-12-01: 28.4 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9184 2025-07-24: 52.5 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6035 2025-07-02: 45.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6480 2025-05-13: 45.5 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6480 2025-05-12: 45.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-08: 16.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-09: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-13: 43.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-14: 44.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-23: 47.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-10-06: 49.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.