CryptoPunk #8123 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Do-rag, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $80,141). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3960 2026-09-22: 31.0 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-17: 27.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-12: 26.7 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6508 2026-04-11: 28.4 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9788 2026-02-21: 52.7 ETH (53.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2404 2025-07-28: 52.5 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9788 2025-07-25: 62.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3960 2025-07-16: 44.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-12-04: 0.11 ETH (sale)
- 2024-04-16: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-16: 40.3 ETH (sale)
- 2026-08-05: 41.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.