CryptoPunk #8124 valuation (beta)
Male, Big Beard, Mohawk Dark, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.2 ETH (about $80,115). 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.2 to 38.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.4 to 42.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mohawk Dark -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #9787 2026-09-24: 33.3 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9787 2026-09-22: 37.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-08-22: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3298 2026-08-17: 140 ETH (131 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9787 2026-08-15: 32.1 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2528 2025-11-27: 34.1 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3552 2025-03-05: 42.0 ETH (33.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-08-09: 0.30 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-14: 16.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 27.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-06: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-12: 30.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-28: 195 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-31: 63.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-03: 61.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-13: 69.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.