CryptoPunk #8151 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Headband, Small Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,624). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 38.0 ETH, 1.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2075 2026-05-02: 37.0 ETH (35.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2026-02-05: 31.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2947 2026-01-02: 27.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3761 2025-12-19: 27.4 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3761 2025-12-16: 26.4 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9855 2025-11-20: 30.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6457 2025-10-28: 37.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2323 2025-09-03: 51.9 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-16: 9.49 ETH (sale)
- 2025-07-01: 39.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-08: 40.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-11-11: 33.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.