CryptoPunk #8158 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Do-rag, Cigarette, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $76,009). 1σ range 30.5 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 40.1 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.5 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 40.1 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3739 2026-10-11: 33.5 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-09-21: 31.9 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9065 2026-08-31: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8359 2026-08-24: 125 ETH (116 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3739 2026-07-04: 34.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5450 2026-07-03: 32.2 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-07-20: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2019-09-29: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 18.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-08: 22.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 45.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-19: 57.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.