CryptoPunk #8161 valuation (beta)
Male, Handlebars, Do-rag, VR.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 40.5 ETH (about $98,199). 1σ range 35.3 to 46.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 40.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.3 to 46.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.8 to 53.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Handlebars -6%, Do-rag -6%, VR +23%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2996 2026-09-21: 31.0 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4125 2025-10-02: 71.0 ETH (45.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2996 2025-07-21: 47.5 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2996 2025-04-24: 46.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7143 2025-03-11: 47.7 ETH (37.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9018 2026-10-29: 30.0 ETH (31.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3378 2026-10-14: 33.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3667 2026-10-09: 33.0 ETH (31.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.