CryptoPunk #8166 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Headband, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $69,953). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Headband -4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8450 2026-09-07: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8400 2026-06-02: 37.5 ETH (35.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4772 2026-04-26: 29.9 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4772 2026-04-20: 25.1 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7981 2026-04-17: 25.1 ETH (28.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6698 2025-07-31: 52.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7981 2025-05-15: 46.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9383 2025-04-21: 41.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-23: 23.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-26: 23.5 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.