CryptoPunk #817 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.7 ETH (about $67,445). 1σ range 27.1 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 35.6 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 91.0 ETH, 12.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.1 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 35.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3391 2026-11-02: 30.0 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9404 2026-10-25: 29.5 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1349 2026-10-13: 38.7 ETH (37.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-01: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2235 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1941 2026-09-23: 60.5 ETH (53.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-11: 42.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-08-12: 47.6 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-27: 90.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.