CryptoPunk #8173 valuation (beta)
Female, Hot Lipstick, Earring, Stringy Hair, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.3 ETH (about $73,530). 1σ range 28.7 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 33.8 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.7 to 32.0 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 33.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Stringy Hair -3%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #628 2026-06-16: 31.8 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2659 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #2659 2026-05-15: 29.9 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5295 2025-11-06: 50.0 ETH (43.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5467 2025-09-23: 45.6 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5295 2025-09-04: 49.0 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5295 2025-07-22: 53.0 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5295 2025-03-31: 45.0 ETH (32.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-03-04: 22.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 32.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 34.8 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 41.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 48.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.