CryptoPunk #8174 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Mohawk, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.5 ETH (about $83,528). 1σ range 31.6 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 37.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mohawk -8%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8992 2026-07-19: 30.6 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3860 2026-07-02: 42.0 ETH (39.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9110 2026-04-10: 30.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #3860 2026-03-19: 32.9 ETH (34.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7552 2026-01-14: 29.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #7552 2026-01-10: 29.0 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #239 2025-12-22: 26.1 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #8992 2025-10-18: 42.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2024-09-12: 32.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-09-13: 30.8 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-04: 29.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-16: 41.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-12-01: 47.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.