CryptoPunk #8186 valuation (beta)
Male, Spots, Shadow Beard, Wild Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5448 2026-10-21: 60.0 ETH (57.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5448 2026-10-01: 35.0 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2276 2026-06-30: 45.5 ETH (42.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4791 2026-04-25: 27.7 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8002 2025-12-31: 26.3 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6140 2025-09-29: 46.1 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2276 2025-04-07: 60.0 ETH (42.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3425 2026-11-02: 27.6 ETH (27.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-08-01: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-02: 31.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-02: 39.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-05: 40.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-06: 60.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-05-31: 52.0 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-01: 45.5 ETH (sale)
- 2023-10-01: 44.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-01-15: 58.7 ETH (sale)
- 2025-09-02: 54.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.