CryptoPunk #819 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Headband, Pipe, 3D Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 67.2 ETH (about $152,751). 1σ range 46.1 to 97.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 142 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 175 ETH, 2.5σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 67.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 46.1 to 97.8 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 142 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 3D Glasses +76%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2298 2026-09-30: 34.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4746 2026-09-22: 88.9 ETH (82.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3677 2025-10-25: 78.0 ETH (60.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4765 2025-10-10: 48.1 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5273 2025-08-25: 65.0 ETH (40.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3677 2025-08-10: 72.7 ETH (40.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5273 2025-08-06: 59.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8692 2025-07-30: 93.1 ETH (51.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-09: 12.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-13: 14.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2023-08-03: 92.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.