CryptoPunk #8196 valuation (beta)
Female, Cap, Blue Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 31.9 ETH (about $72,630). 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 35.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5893 2026-10-15: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5893 2026-09-27: 31.0 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4616 2025-01-02: 42.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1471 2024-11-13: 29.5 ETH (26.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1165 2026-10-01: 33.7 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1165 2026-09-29: 32.8 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2316 2026-08-10: 36.0 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2837 2026-06-05: 30.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-28: 5.00 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-22: 24.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-28: 30.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.