CryptoPunk #8198 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Headband.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,580). 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3761 2025-12-19: 27.4 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3761 2025-12-16: 26.4 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6035 2025-07-02: 45.0 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3877 2025-02-09: 40.9 ETH (35.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 30.0 ETH (29.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3662 2026-10-25: 29.1 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7608 2026-10-16: 30.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-05-09: 20.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-17: 21.7 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.