CryptoPunk #8199 valuation (beta)
Male, Muttonchops, Knitted Cap, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,911). 1σ range 28.3 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.3 to 33.4 ETH, 2σ range 26.0 to 36.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Muttonchops -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7377 2026-09-05: 31.5 ETH (31.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3359 2026-07-04: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2026-02-05: 29.9 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2026-01-16: 30.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2025-12-09: 29.5 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7377 2025-12-08: 29.8 ETH (29.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-10-01: 46.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9516 2025-09-29: 46.0 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-30: 24.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.