CryptoPunk #8202 valuation (beta)
Male, Spots, Police Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 32.7 ETH (about $79,225). 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 32.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6687 2026-10-16: 43.5 ETH (42.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.9 ETH (31.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9449 2026-09-22: 33.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #9449 2026-09-19: 29.1 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5866 2026-09-17: 29.6 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #6669 2026-09-10: 32.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #5866 2026-09-05: 28.5 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
- #4945 2026-08-06: 40.0 ETH (37.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-05)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-07-30: 28.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.