CryptoPunk #8205 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard, Messy Hair, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.6 ETH (about $78,614). 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 37.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.1 to 41.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #8833 2026-04-03: 39.3 ETH (42.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8833 2025-12-22: 33.5 ETH (37.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-10-06: 49.5 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-09-23: 47.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2642 2025-09-18: 52.1 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6920 2025-09-03: 45.3 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6920 2025-08-29: 45.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8109 2025-07-14: 44.7 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-12-19: 65.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-17: 94.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-10-05: 99.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-21: 35.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-08-28: 31.0 ETH (sale)
- 2024-09-18: 31.9 ETH (sale)
- 2024-10-14: 29.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-15: 37.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-03-23: 30.2 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2026-03-30: 31.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.