CryptoPunk #8226 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Earring, Fedora.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.7 ETH (about $76,710). 1σ range 31.1 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 36.6 ETH, 2σ range 28.6 to 39.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Goat -7%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-25: 34.5 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.5 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9142 2026-09-24: 33.0 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8332 2026-08-21: 33.9 ETH (31.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8332 2026-06-11: 31.2 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7036 2026-06-05: 31.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-21: 1.10 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-24: 1.40 ETH (sale)
- 2020-05-28: 1.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 1.79 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-12: 23.4 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.