CryptoPunk #8238 valuation (beta)
Male, Mohawk Thin, Vape.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.2 ETH (about $66,347). 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.1 to 35.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mohawk Thin -11%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5635 2026-10-04: 33.4 ETH (30.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5329 2026-09-30: 38.9 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-09-29: 32.3 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5635 2026-09-29: 31.2 ETH (27.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #192 2026-09-24: 36.0 ETH (32.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-09-23: 37.0 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8375 2026-09-04: 32.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5942 2026-08-22: 34.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-05-26: 1.49 ETH (sale)
- 2020-08-07: 0.98 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-14: 2.90 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-08: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-06-19: 62.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-29: 66.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-12-25: 61.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2022-12-31: 66.5 ETH (sale, not used: twin-of-nominal-24h)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.