CryptoPunk #8249 valuation (beta)
Female, Black Lipstick, Bandana, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.8 ETH (about $70,040). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1895 2026-10-09: 33.3 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6263 2026-10-08: 31.0 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6263 2026-09-22: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6573 2026-09-21: 32.0 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-09-03: 30.5 ETH (29.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-08-09: 33.4 ETH (31.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6573 2026-07-02: 31.4 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1895 2026-06-29: 30.0 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-19: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2017-08-13: 0.18 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-23: 21.4 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-12: 62.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-11-17: 66.5 ETH (sale)
- 2025-03-25: 41.8 ETH (sale)
- 2025-04-12: 39.7 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-07-13: 43.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.