CryptoPunk #8274 valuation (beta)
Male, Chinstrap, Cap, Eye Mask.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 38.5 ETH (about $87,446). 1σ range 34.2 to 43.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 38.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.2 to 43.3 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 48.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Chinstrap -5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5511 2026-07-16: 36.4 ETH (33.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-05-21: 32.6 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-02-05: 29.3 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9737 2024-12-02: 48.0 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-11-02: 31.4 ETH (31.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2303 2026-11-02: 33.0 ETH (32.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8233 2026-10-28: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-09-02: 0.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-01-07: 0.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-04-26: 0.51 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-05: 5.70 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-15: 11.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-23: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-08: 28.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-08-01: 45.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-10-19: 130 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.