CryptoPunk #8281 valuation (beta)
Male, Goat, Do-rag, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $75,967). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 250 ETH, 24.7σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.3 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Goat -7%, Do-rag -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-10-02: 33.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2224 2026-09-21: 29.6 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4360 2025-11-14: 31.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-23: 49.0 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2557 2025-07-20: 41.0 ETH (26.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1182 2025-04-08: 142 ETH (100 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3067 2025-03-24: 52.0 ETH (37.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.