CryptoPunk #8294 valuation (beta)
Male, Knitted Cap, Pipe, Classic Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4473 2026-05-12: 42.0 ETH (42.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3114 2026-04-25: 30.5 ETH (30.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3114 2026-02-05: 29.9 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3114 2025-09-03: 50.0 ETH (31.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9970 2025-08-16: 50.0 ETH (30.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4473 2025-08-14: 59.8 ETH (35.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4473 2025-08-12: 62.5 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3855 2025-07-30: 65.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-04-17: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-04-17: 25.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-31: 38.5 ETH (sale)
- 2022-03-18: 79.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-04-03: 71.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.