CryptoPunk #8305 valuation (beta)
Male, Hoodie, Cigarette, 3D Glasses, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 208 ETH (about $472,100). 1σ range 81.6 to 528 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 1,343 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 350 ETH, 0.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 208 ETH (beta), 1σ range 81.6 to 528 ETH, 2σ range 32.1 to 1,343 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Hoodie +238%, 3D Glasses +76%, Clown Nose -6%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #6634 2026-05-04: 205 ETH (199 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6634 2025-03-19: 223 ETH (174 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4441 2026-06-26: 278 ETH (261 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9901 2026-01-20: 120 ETH (132 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7414 2025-08-02: 100 ETH (55.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4653 2025-07-25: 129 ETH (74.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9778 2025-05-31: 150 ETH (98.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-18: 46.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-24: 250 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-08: 260 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.