CryptoPunk #8314 valuation (beta)
Female, Earring, Mohawk Thin, Clown Nose.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 29.4 ETH (about $66,772). 1σ range 27.8 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 32.9 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 39.4 ETH, 5.2σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 32.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Clown Nose -7%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3961 2025-08-10: 75.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9433 2026-06-05: 30.5 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9433 2026-05-23: 32.5 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-05-16: 31.8 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6379 2026-01-09: 27.7 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7670 2025-11-23: 41.0 ETH (41.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7626 2025-08-18: 50.0 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7211 2025-08-08: 75.0 ETH (42.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
None on record.
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.