CryptoPunk #8315 valuation (beta)
Male, Earring, Cap, Pipe.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 39.6 ETH (about $90,100). 1σ range 34.8 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 39.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.8 to 45.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 51.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Earring -2%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4241 2026-09-22: 36.8 ETH (34.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-06-26: 36.5 ETH (34.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-05-21: 32.6 ETH (29.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1834 2026-02-20: 36.0 ETH (36.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8614 2026-02-05: 29.3 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2025-11-15: 35.5 ETH (33.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4241 2025-11-12: 34.8 ETH (29.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9537 2025-11-02: 41.5 ETH (34.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-09-14: 2.99 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-29: 5.50 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-29: 5.89 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-09: 8.90 ETH (sale)
- 2021-12-03: 83.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-12-24: 95.0 ETH (sale)
- 2022-09-27: 100.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.