CryptoPunk #8353 valuation (beta)
Male, Luxurious Beard, Crazy Hair, Cigarette.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.3 ETH (about $84,798). 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 70.0 ETH, 5.9σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #5224 2026-08-10: 36.9 ETH (34.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5224 2026-08-04: 29.0 ETH (27.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9953 2026-06-18: 165 ETH (151 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8870 2026-05-19: 130 ETH (115 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1106 2026-04-22: 30.5 ETH (31.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-13: 36.9 ETH (38.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4790 2026-03-04: 29.0 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3020 2026-01-19: 27.5 ETH (28.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2026-06-27: 42.0 ETH (sale)
- 2026-08-08: 40.5 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.