CryptoPunk #836 valuation (beta)
Male, Front Beard Dark, Knitted Cap.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.4 ETH (about $75,851). 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.3 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 98.8 ETH, 13.3σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard Dark -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7113 2026-04-01: 30.5 ETH (32.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9390 2026-02-26: 32.8 ETH (32.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7113 2025-08-09: 55.0 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7113 2025-03-11: 40.5 ETH (31.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7440 2026-11-01: 40.4 ETH (39.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2473 2026-10-31: 38.0 ETH (37.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4202 2026-10-29: 40.0 ETH (41.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9176 2026-10-27: 30.5 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2017-07-07: 0.30 ETH (sale)
- 2021-10-01: 123 ETH (sale)
- 2022-01-03: 67.0 ETH (accepted bid)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.