CryptoPunk #8366 valuation (beta)
Male, Shadow Beard, Shaved Head, Eye Patch.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 35.4 ETH (about $80,408). 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 35.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Shaved Head -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #4810 2026-10-03: 42.0 ETH (38.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9950 2026-08-08: 39.7 ETH (37.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9774 2026-07-27: 95.0 ETH (88.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8155 2026-05-24: 40.0 ETH (36.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2535 2025-12-11: 34.4 ETH (34.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2528 2025-11-27: 34.1 ETH (33.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3433 2025-10-08: 47.6 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1863 2025-09-14: 45.7 ETH (28.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-02-09: 0.09 ETH (sale)
- 2022-07-18: 95.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.