CryptoPunk #8385 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Mole, Silver Chain, Frumpy Hair.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.0 ETH (about $74,974). 1σ range 30.2 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 39.4 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 111 ETH, 13.6σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 39.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Mole -7%, Frumpy Hair -7%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #7711 2026-10-20: 29.0 ETH (27.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-15: 30.4 ETH (29.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-10-08: 31.3 ETH (28.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-09-22: 33.3 ETH (30.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5098 2026-08-21: 32.4 ETH (30.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #6771 2026-03-23: 34.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5935 2025-11-05: 32.7 ETH (26.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7771 2025-10-09: 48.1 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2020-01-04: 0.51 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-07: 17.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-25: 24.5 ETH (sale)
- 2024-05-14: 39.7 ETH (sale)
- 2024-11-29: 44.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.