CryptoPunk #8389 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Mustache, Cap Forward.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 33.9 ETH (about $77,055). 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 35.0 ETH, 0.4σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 33.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.2 to 36.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.7 to 40.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%.
- In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #3758 2026-10-12: 40.0 ETH (38.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1769 2026-02-06: 30.6 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1769 2026-02-04: 27.8 ETH (30.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1769 2026-02-03: 25.7 ETH (28.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-11-04: 37.0 ETH (33.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4411 2025-07-29: 58.0 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3039 2025-07-25: 126 ETH (72.7 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #704 2025-05-25: 56.0 ETH (35.4 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2019-11-23: 0.26 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-23: 2.17 ETH (sale)
- 2020-09-28: 4.25 ETH (sale)
- 2020-10-09: 4.10 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-28: 22.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-05-09: 20.4 ETH (sale)
- 2021-07-07: 19.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-07-12: 19.9 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-19: 28.9 ETH (sale)
- 2026-02-23: 28.9 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.