CryptoPunk #839 valuation (beta)
Female, Mole, Frumpy Hair, Purple Eye Shadow.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 37.0 ETH (about $84,034). 1σ range 33.2 to 41.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.7 ETH. Confidence: High. Valued at the latest floor (as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 37.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.2 to 41.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 45.7 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #2486 2026-10-26: 29.0 ETH (28.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2659 2026-06-05: 30.8 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #2659 2026-05-15: 29.9 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8973 2026-01-07: 28.9 ETH (29.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8973 2026-01-06: 29.5 ETH (29.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1910 2025-12-01: 33.0 ETH (32.3 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5108 2025-11-24: 36.0 ETH (34.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #1910 2025-11-22: 29.7 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-21: 16.5 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-21: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-03-26: 20.0 ETH (sale)
- 2025-08-04: 52.0 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2025-08-09: 54.5 ETH (sale)
- 2026-01-02: 29.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.