CryptoPunk #8390 valuation (beta)
Male, Frown, Goat, Stringy Hair, Nerd Glasses.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 34.1 ETH (about $77,522). 1σ range 31.1 to 37.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 41.0 ETH. Confidence: Medium. Valued at the latest floor (as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Listed at 50.0 ETH, 4.1σ above the estimate.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.1 to 37.4 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 41.0 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).
- Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Goat -7%, Stringy Hair -9%.
- In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1424 2026-10-20: 53.0 ETH (50.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7368 2026-09-24: 39.9 ETH (35.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #9984 2026-09-21: 31.2 ETH (30.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5327 2026-07-28: 35.4 ETH (32.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #909 2026-07-25: 34.8 ETH (32.2 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #5327 2026-07-15: 33.0 ETH (30.5 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #8918 2026-06-16: 39.0 ETH (35.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #3315 2026-05-11: 32.2 ETH (32.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2018-11-29: 0.20 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.