CryptoPunk #8394 valuation (beta)
Female, Purple Lipstick, Blonde Bob, Big Shades.
Valuation (beta), not a floor: 30.7 ETH (about $69,835). 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH. Confidence: Low. Valued at the latest floor (as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH), fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04, model est-v2-202610.
Not listed for sale.
Why this valuation
- Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).
- Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.
- Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).
- No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.
- Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.
- In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1).
Comparable sales
- #1738 2025-10-27: 39.2 ETH (30.1 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4398 2025-07-20: 47.0 ETH (29.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7703 2025-06-18: 40.0 ETH (29.0 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4398 2025-05-06: 40.7 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7703 2025-03-13: 37.0 ETH (28.9 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7703 2025-03-07: 35.4 ETH (27.6 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #4398 2025-03-06: 37.5 ETH (30.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
- #7703 2025-03-05: 36.0 ETH (28.8 ETH at the floor of 2026-11-04)
Sales of this punk
- 2021-02-04: 8.00 ETH (accepted bid)
- 2021-02-06: 8.50 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 17.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-19: 19.9 ETH (sale)
- 2021-02-20: 25.0 ETH (sale)
- 2021-04-07: 26.0 ETH (sale)
Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.